Fred Wilson on how he made it as a VC

Fred Wilson of Union Square Ventures just wrote a very informative and articulate post on how he made it as a VC.  Here's what Fred thinks you should do (as opposed to what he did):
The way you do that is you work for at least ten years in the industry, getting operating experience, building a killer rolodex, and learning how the business works from the inside. Then in your mid to late 30s, you can make the move to the venture capital business, as a partner, not as a wet behind the ears associate who doesn't know anything other than how to push numbers around a spreadsheet.
A number of VC firms do, in fact, hire precisely based on this profile.  If you're not prepared to take such a circuitous path, here's a post I wrote a while back on finding a job in venture capital.





Judging at Under The Radar Social Media and Entertainment Summit

I'll be a judge at the Games track at the Under The Radar Social Media and Entertainment Summit June 3rd in Mountain View.  Good mix of companies and I'm looking forward to it!

The Landscape of Cloud Computing

It's pretty well known that Amazon Web Services' EC2 and S3 initiatives have taken off and are gaining users not just in startup land but in Corporate America as well. Amazon provides a compute and storage cloud, and the rush of companies big (e.g., Google) and small (e.g., Nirvanix) beginning to compete with Amazon in providing clouds has spawned a term and a movement - Cloud Computing. 

I've been involved with precursors to cloud computing (Utility Computing, Grid Computing, Application Service Providers - ASPs) from my days at Corio, an early ASP acquired by IBM in 2005. In fact, back in graduate school at Cornell, I did research on assembling commodity hardware into compute grids.  Small wonder, then, that Cloud Computing is an area I'm looking at quite actively for potential investments.

Peter Laird has a great blog post that defines the landscape of Cloud Computing; I encourage anybody interested in the space to read Peter's post.  And Peter's cheat-sheet on the players is invaluable if you want to appear well-informed :-)

Discounted admission to UTR Social Media and Entertainment

Dealmaker Media is offering readers $100 off the Under the Radar Social Media and Entertainment event on June 3rd in Mountain View, CA.  Save100utr Click here or on the image below to register with the discount.







Here's the conference description (I'm a judge, btw):

Under the Radar: Social Media and Entertainment
June 3, 2008 | 8:00am – 6:00pm
Microsoft Campus |

Mountain View

,

CA



If you can't beat 'em, buy 'em. No longer is big media trying to compete with the content companies that were stealing the show - instead, they're offering them a premium channel. From YouTube to Bebo and MySpace to Club Penguin, every media mogul, Hollywood tycoon and Silicon Valley innovator wants a piece of this pie.  But even Toto knows we're not in

Kansas

anymore - technology has changed, business models and ad metrics are being reinvented, and the pressure to turn millions of eyeballs into billions of cash is on. Blink once and they just might get side-swiped by a startup with a better product, a smarter model and, even worse, nothing to lose.

Under the Radar will uncover 32 startups in the entertainment and social media space that have launched within the year. Covering social networks, advertising, casual gaming, virtual worlds, measurement tools, video, commerce, publishing and more, Under the Radar is the only forum that empowers its audience to discover tomorrow’s leading tech companies. 

PRESENTERS:

33Across - Identifies influential online users
Animoto - Create personalized, professional-quality videos from images and music, offering a new alternative to traditional online photo slideshows
AudioMicro - Stock music and sound effects licensing platform
Aviary
-Suite of web-based applications for people who create and a marketplace to sell that content
Dizzywood - A virtual world that allows kids to dress up 3D avatars, play games, explore worlds and meet new friends in a safe environment
Comedy.com - aggregated comedy entertainment site
CrowdSPRING - crowdsourcing of creative talent.
ffwd
- Organized, multi-platform, video content delivered via a browser, with social network awareness, and predictive recommendations.
Jygy - mobile social networking
GumGum - A licensing and distribution platform for online content
Hollywood Interactive Group - A mass casual mmo based on reality TV concepts and

Hollywood

stardom.
Jacked
- Browser-based “second screen” for TV viewers, which provides synchronized content and a real-time interactive experience that complements what they’re watching on TV
Keibi - moderation and classification of user generated content (UGC)
Kosmix
- Categorization engine that crawls billions of Web pages in a unique manner to create algo-generated home pages
Loomia - Social recommendations bridging established social networking sites with media websites
Mochi Media - Provides independent game developers with analytics, distribution, tools and monetization while providing advertisers with turnkey opportunities to reach the one in three Internet users who play online games.
MovieSet
- Platform that brings behind-the-scenes filmmaking online, giving fans authentic access through its proprietary toolkit for Producers.
Mytopia -Social gaming community for Web,

Mobile

, Smartphone and TV
Overlay.tv - video commerce platform that overlays contextual information directly onto online video content
PlayCafe - Online game show network
PutPlace - Media storage all the way from

Ireland


Sometrics
- Social Analytics and Social Ad Platform
uiActive
- Take all your contacts from your social networks with you — on your phone!

CONFIRMED JUDGES:

Kara Swisher, Co-Executive Editor, Wall Street Journal/All things D
Charlene Li, Senior Analst, Forrester Research
Dave McClure, Startup Advisor & Angel Investor, 500 Hats
Lewis Henderson, SVP, William Morris Agency
Amin Zoufonoun, Corporate Development, Google
Scott Sangster, Director of Strategic Planning and Development, Walt Disney Internet Group

Jason Oberfest, VP of Business Development, MySpace
Rob Hayes, Partner, First Round Capital
Robert Scoble, Editor, Scobleizer

Chad

Kinzelberg, Partner, Scale Venture Partners
Rick Bolander, Partner, Gabriel Venture Partners
Vineet Buch, Partner, BlueRun Venures

 

MODERATORS:
Ellen McGirt, Senior Writer, Fast Company
Rafe Needleman, Editor, CNET/Webware
Jeremy Toeman, Marketing Consultant, Stage Two Consulting

Go-to-market strategy for Social Media

I moderated a panel today on go-to-market strategy for Social Media startups.  The panelists - Sergio Monsalve from Norwest Venture Partners, Charlene Li from Forrester Research, Jason Oberfest from MySpace and Social Media Evangelist Deborah Schultz did an excellent job of keeping the audience both entertained and informed.  A few highlights from the panel:
- yes, you can get a million users trivially for an app on Facebook or MySpace ... but a million is a pretty small number nowadays for a social media app, and these are hardly sticky users
- all the panelists stressed engagement as being more important than simple viral growth ... advertisers, particularly brands, want users who hang around
- bleak times could be ahead for the CPM ad world ... CEOs, hunker down, focus on alternative business models, and start thinking about freemium strategies
- one thing missing (brought out by a question after the panel) was an emphasis on partnering for traffic acquisition, so much a feature of Web 1.0.  With the exception of a few sites like Zillow that have proprietary information they can syndicate to portals such as Yahoo Real Estate, traffic acquisition is either  through viral invitations (including widget embeds) or SEO/SEM.

The panel was streamed live on ustream.tv and is recorded here.

Moving brand ad dollars online - in our lifetime?

The blogosphere is filled with diatribes bemoaning the disparity between the (large) number of people online and the (small) fraction of brand ad dollars spent online.  There is no doubt that sites like YouTube, for instance, have enormous reach - 63.5M US uniques monthly, according to Quantcast. But YouTube's rumored revenue in 2007 was a mere ~$80M, despite Google's powerful monetization machine behind the site.  The impending US recession certainly won't push brand ad dollars online, and many startups, including portfolio company Slide, are evolving their business models to dip into consumer pockets directly

So why aren't P&G, Clorox, Nestle, et al, pouring money into sites like YouTube and Facebook, whose reach and engagement are indisputable?  And how and when will brand dollars move online? I've been debating these points with Cheryl Tam Cheng, who joined BRV recently after several years in brand management at Clorox.  Her insights, after having managed ad budgets bigger than most Web 2.0 companies' revenues, opened my eyes to the challenges - and opportunities - as online advertising tries to take a bigger chunk out of the multi-hundred billion TV ad market.

M- Media plans are put together through an integrated process that includes the agency, the media buyers, the brand team and other cross functional marketing people such as online, PR, in-store and print, with the brand manager giving direction on messaging, creative strategy and budget splits.  Startups trying to extract ad dollars from brands should remember that:         

- Brand managers are smart.  Very smart.  And conservative, but not unreasonably so, given that they are nurturing product franchises developed over decades and worth hundreds of millions, if not billions, in annual revenue.  These folks have to deliver growth in fiercely competitive markets while dealing with fickle consumers who have many choices; they need measurable results to engage with a new advertising channel

- CPG companies are very metrics driven. Ironically, the typical CPG company might have more and better quant jocks analyzing consumer data than all except the biggest Internet companies.

- TV has worked quantifiably well for brand advertisers: TV has mass reach, great recall, and well-segmented viewer demographics. The long-form content on TV allows for ads that are mini-stories that appeal to consumers' emotions.  Most CPG brands sell offline, and must either create an emotional connection that persists between viewing the ad in the morning and driving to the store in the evening, or advertise at the point of decision, i.e., at the store.

- CPG ad budgets are relatively inflexible: Perhaps 80% of a typical brand manager's budget is allocated to TV, with the remaining 20% split across in-store, print, outdoor - and online.  The brand manager controlling this mix has a tenure of 18-24 months, a number of short to medium term imperatives, and little interest in experimentation without relatively quick payback.  Scaling from a 50K experimental buy to a 2M campaign requires a fundamental shift in how the brand is marketed, and will only happen if there's a clearly demonstrable ROI. 

- Brand ads are bought for well-defined campaigns, not as part of an almost infinitely elastic lead-gen budget.  Andrew Chen explains that well here, and the savvy startup will realize that they should be chipping away at brand budgets, selling small campaigns and delivering ROI, rather than hunting elephants.

- Startups are better off appealing to new, hip brands like Method than tilting at windmills (pitching to giants like P&G).  Edgier brands with smaller footprints, like Method, that are still establishing themselves and target a younger, hipper, urban consumer are more likely to experiment with online marketing.  Their budgets are much smaller, but only after these early adopters succeed in building a brand online will the giants follow.

 

Social Media is a global phenomenon

Universal McCann just released Wave 3 of an ongoing project to study the impact of social media globally.

The full study is available here.

This is a pretty comprehensive study that interviewed 17,000 users in 29 countries, and their conclusions, although not entirely surprising, are still eye-opening. Here's a summary:

  • Social Media is global, and has caught fire in Asia; China alone has more bloggers (42M) the US and Western Europe combined
  • Video is the fastest growing element of social media.  Hardly surprising, given that video is the richest and yet the easiest to create form of content.
  • Widgets are becoming very popular (23% of social network users, and 18% of bloggers, have installed an app or a widget)
  • Blogs rival traditional media in reach - 73% of Internet users have read a blog
  • Corporations have to get serious about the blogosphere.  34% of bloggers post opinions about products on their blog.

Taking your startup global

One of the cardinal canons of Silicon Valley is that startups must focus ... and focus, and focus some more.  Indeed, Sequoia Capital enshrines it as one of their guiding principles for building sustainable companies. Historically, this has also meant that startups expanded markets very cautiously beyond their home geographies. 

Enterprise players first got to big Valley companies, then perhaps to Financial Services behemoths in New York City, then to the rest of Corporate America.  Once they were big and profitable, they might have funded a London sales office to explore the European market.  Asia was usually an afterthought for post-IPO expansion.

Internet and New Media players were a little more nimble, but they too thought of global markets as icing to be applied to the cake of the US market.

Such an incremental approach to market penetration seems quaint in today's flat world.  A chip company based in China might get its first customers in India or Korea, and Internet companies like Facebook, hi5 and Orkut might see much of their growth coming from outside the US. Very early in your company's lifecycle, you are faced with the gnawing question of whether to explore distant markets - are they tantalizing merely because they are far away, or is that glitter really a pot of gold?  And how should a 20-person company target Asia or Europe anyway?

It's usually not difficult to figure out if your product or service has as much, or more, appeal outside home base.  Maybe you meet a prospect a trade show that attracted a worldwide audience, or maybe the social graph of your users, superimposed on Google Maps, looks uncannily like the highway map of the Philippines, or maybe your investors have a global perspective and can point you to promising international markets (shameless plug -  we at BRV have done this more times than I can remember).  Far earlier than you might have assumed, anyway, you're faced with the opportunities and challenges of globalizing your company.

Before you panic (or after you recover from it), remember that going international is no longer as expensive as it used to be.  It's really much more about mindset than expensive offices in downtown Tokyo or Seoul. In our experience, following a few basic guidelines can smooth your overseas expansion:

  • Be ready to take an order from anybody, anywhere, anytime: simple though it might sound, one of the companies I'm involved with got a lot of international customer interest very shortly after they started selling, and had to scramble to be able to take customer calls outside US office hours and to process non-US forms of payment. Be prepared for success earlier than you might expect, and build your processes and systems for a world where at any given time somebody, somewhere isn't asleep but is, instead, ready to buy your product or watch an ad on a webpage you serve.
  • Treat all your customers equally well, wherever they may be: when the US economy was the only engine pulling the world, Silicon Valley companies built products or services for the home market and when they went international, most customers had to buy the US-centric product - or buy nothing at all.  That attitude just won't fly in a world where buying power, and innovation, are increasingly diversified.  Yes, the Orkut team might sit in Mountain View, but if Brazilian users want a certain feature and US users don't, then the Brazilians should probably get it - after all, they're the largest user bloc on the site!
  • Remote offices shouldn't just be sales offices: let's say you bit the bullet and employee #21 in your small startup was the head of Asia-Pac, based in Singapore.  His primary job might be Sales and Business Development, but he is also valuable eyes and ears on the local market, and your Product teams must be attuned to what he tells you.  Otherwise you'll be pushing a Valley product onto a distant customer who will feel ignored and disregarded - and might well leave you.
  • Re-activate your frequent-flyer programs: even if you run a website, and never meet your users face to face, there's no substitute for immersing yourself in the culture from which they come.  In any case you can always meet local advertisers on your trips to distant lands filled with your users. And if you're an Enterprise play, then, by all means, get on that plane and meet those remote customers.

More to come on this topic ... stay tuned


Are biofuels to blame for rising food prices worldwide?

It's no secret that food prices are rising drastically, and for the foreseeable future, worldwide.  According to CNN,

However, consumers still face at least 10 years of more expensive food, according to preliminary FAO projections.

Among the driving forces are petroleum prices, which increase the cost of everything from fertilizers to transport to food processing. Rising demand for meat and dairy in rapidly developing countries such as China and India is sending up the cost of grain, used for cattle feed, as is the demand for raw materials to make biofuels.

What's rare is that the spikes are hitting all major foods in most countries at once. Food prices rose 4 percent in the U.S. last year, the highest rise since 1990, and are expected to climb as much again this year, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

As of December, 37 countries faced food crises, and 20 had imposed some sort of food-price controls.

Affluent Silicon Valley consumers probably don't feel the pinch, and probably never will, because they spend such a tiny fraction of their income on food.  But for the world's poor, food is usually their second largest expense, after shelter, and a 10% increase in food prices could well push them from subsistence to starvation. 

The Christian Science Monitor examines the role of biofuel crops in raising food prices.  Predictably, the biofuels industry, supported by farm-state driven legislation and buoyed by subsidies, has produced studies that minimize their impact on commodity prices.  Says the Monitor,

In a counterpoint study last month by corn growers and the biofuels industry, higher corn prices were found to be only a small element in rising food costs overall – although higher energy costs for fuel to transport crops and grow them were a larger factor.

There is still much doubt about the sustainability of biofuels, i.e. whether they are a net positive in terms of energy production vs. consumption, and in terms of carbon emissions.  With so much uncertainty about the cost-benefit ratio of biofuels, and the very real need for more arable land for food crops, shouldn't policy makers and land stewards be focusing on increasing food production and not artificially subsidizing biofuel production?

So you thought you wanted to build a sticky website ...

Andrew Chen has a great post explaining why sticky sites that get lots of organic traffic monetize very poorly (i.e., have very low eCPMs).  Here's the meat of his argument:

For the people who are curious, this is the easiest to monetize:

One-hit wonder site that exist in a particular category, are based in the US, and have lots of search traffic

In particular, your site is likely to have high CTRs since people are in a "transactional" mode. If you have all of those, and have a ton of pageviews, then you'll make a ton of money.

The hardest to monetize?

Highly sticky sites that are general (like communication), based 100% outside of the US/Europe/Japan, with lots of pageviews

In a setup like this, not only are people unlikely to want to buy anything, even if they did, there'd be no way to make money off of this group.

Before you rush off and build an SEO/SEM-driven transaction engine, though, beware that the Lord Google giveth traffic, and the Lord Google also taketh away traffic - when algorithms change, search indexes are rebuilt or somebody else can afford to lose a lot more money on buying traffic. Or maybe just because Google deemed it so.  Highest RPVs (revenues per visit) and eCPMs are achieved when the site can capture the user's intent, fairly specifically and usually through a search engine, and yet offer a differentiated enough experience that the user, the search engine and whoever's dipping into the user's wallet all agree that the site added real value in the middle. 

Thus, a site that buys mortgage keywords on Google merely to land visitors on a landing page full of Adsense mortgage ads and hopes to make money on the spread might be profitable in the short term but will find its arbitrage margins squeezed out soon enough.  Conversely, if the site provides, say, a unique vertical search experience specific to a domain, it will be relatively immune to efforts by Google to bypass it.

Kayak.com,, a vertical search engine for travel, is a good example - visitors come with intent to find and buy travel, and they can't find the same search experience on a horizontal search engine like Google. Another example is like.com (portfolio company), that provides visual search for shopping for soft goods like clothing, shoes, handbags and jewelry.  If you search for "red strappy shoes" on Google, here's the landing page you get if you click on the link from like.com.  Yup, those are red strappy shoes all right.  Being focused on a domain and having unique technology to look inside pictures, like.com can offer real value to the end-user, making them happy, which makes the Big G happy as well.  And, oh yeah, the user who gets what they're looking for is likely to buy those red strappy shoes, which makes the merchant happy too!